Key Takeaways:
- Lithuanian intelligence assessed that Russia has the
capability to continue sustaining the current tempo of its war in
Ukraine and will likely have the capability to gradually expand its
military capabilities in the near term. - Lithuanian intelligence also assessed that Russia is
unlikely to abandon its long-term objectives of subjugating Ukraine even
if Russian fails to achieve these objectives through military means. - Lithuanian intelligence assessed that Russia is preparing
for confrontation with NATO in the long term while also waging its war
in Ukraine. - Sweden formally joined NATO on March 7, becoming the 32nd member of the alliance.
- The governor of the pro-Russian Moldovan autonomous region
Gagauzia, Yevgenia Gutsul, met with Russian Presidential Administration
Deputy Head Sergei Kiriyenko in Russia on March 7 as Moldovan
authorities announced that a criminal case against Gutsul will soon go
to court. - Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi reiterated Chinese calls
for peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine on March 7; Russia
will likely continue to use such calls to promote long-standing
information operations aimed at prompting Western concessions. - The Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) announced on
March 7 that it neutralized an Islamic State (IS) terrorist cell that
had been preparing an attack on synagogues in Moscow. - Russian forces recently made confirmed advances near
Kupyansk and Donetsk City amid continued positional engagements along
the entire line of contact on March 7. - Russian intelligence services likely continue to source and
operate sanctioned precision machine tools and dual-use components to
produce Russian military equipment.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-march-7-2024