Key Takeaways:
• Sweden will join NATO following Hungary’s formal approval of Sweden’s accession bid on February 26.
•
Russian President Vladimir Putin signed two decrees on February 26 that
officially re-establish the Moscow and Leningrad Military Districts,
codifying major Russian military restructuring and reform efforts.
•
The formal transfer of regions previously under the responsibility of
the Northern Fleet is likely part of a wider Russian effort to
re-establish military district commands as the primary headquarters for
the Russian ground forces while reassigning naval assets to the Russian
Navy, as ISW previously reported.
•
The re-creation of the MMD and LMD supports the parallel objectives of
consolidating control over Russian operations in Ukraine in the
short-to-medium term and preparing for a potential future large-scale
conventional war against NATO in the long term.
•
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated on February 25 that
Russia is preparing a new offensive that will start in late May or
summer 2024, consistent with ISW’s assessment that Russian forces have
regained the theater-wide initiative and will be able to pursue
offensive operations when and where they choose as long as they hold the
initiative.
•
Chief of the Russian General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov is
continuing a recent campaign to engage with Russian military personnel
following the Russian capture of Avdiivka, Donetsk Oblast and reportedly
visited a command post of the 58th Combined Arms Army (CAA) in
Ukraine.
•
Over 20 heads of state, including 15 European Union (EU) leaders met in
Paris on February 26 to discuss ramping up ammunition supplies to
Ukraine.
• Germany announced a new military aid package to Ukraine on February 26.
•
Transnistrian sources reportedly told Russian independent outlet
Verstka that Transnistria, a pro-Russian breakaway region of Moldova, is
not planning to ask to join Russia during the Congress of Deputies in
Tiraspol on February 28.
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